Initial Analysis of and Predictive Model Development for Weather Reroute Advisory Use

In response to severe weather conditions, traffic management coordinators (TMCs) reroute air traffic around regions of airspace affected by the severe weather. Presently, acceptable reroutes are specified by issuing reroute advisories. Advisories, based on reroutes published in the National Severe Weather Playbook, consist of several routes describing routing options. These reroutes are selected by TMCs based on their understanding of weather conditions and their previous experience dealing with similar weather conditions. Providing recommendations and analysis of available reroute options could assist the TMCs in making rerouting decisions. While reroute advisories have historically been based on Playbook plays, plays are frequently modified or combined to generate an advisory. Thus, it is natural to present rerouting suggestions to TMCs as modified Playbook plays. The challenge here is to compare advisory subroutes and play subroutes in a meaningful way in order to map advisories back to the Playbook plays upon which they may have been based. In this work, several subroute comparison metrics are presented and discussed. One of these metrics is then used to match advisories to Playbook plays. With the development and implementation of NextGen technologies, there is currently a trend of moving away from the pre-defined Playbook plays (and related advisories) in favor of a more precise specification of trajectories using GPS based navigation tools, such as area navigation (RNAV). Moving towards ubiquitous use of RNAV routes, the objective of rerouting flights will be met with more precisely specified and accurately flown RNAV routes. In the final version of this paper, significant RNAV routes will be identified by finding RNAV routes that are flown frequently. This will require a trajectory comparison technique to compare actually flown flight tracks to specified RNAV routes. The metrics developed here will be used or modified for this task

A Linear Programming Approach to Routing Control in Networks of Constrained Nonlinear Positive Systems with Concave Flow Rates

We consider control design for positive compartmental systems in which each compartment's outflow rate is described by a concave function of the amount of material in the compartment.We address the problem of determining the routing of material between compartments to satisfy time-varying state constraints while ensuring that material reaches its intended destination over a finite time horizon. We give sufficient conditions for the existence of a time-varying state-dependent routing strategy which ensures that the closed-loop system satisfies basic network properties of positivity, conservation and interconnection while ensuring that capacity constraints are satisfied, when possible, or adjusted if a solution cannot be found. These conditions are formulated as a linear programming problem. Instances of this linear programming problem can be solved iteratively to generate a solution to the finite horizon routing problem. Results are given for the application of this control design method to an example problem. Key words: linear programming; control of networks; positive systems; controller constraints and structure

Initial Analysis of and Predictive Model Development for Weather Reroute Advisory Use

In response to severe weather conditions, traffic management coordinators specify reroutes to route air traffic around affected regions of airspace. Providing analysis and recommendations of available reroute options would assist the traffic management coordinators in making more efficient rerouting decisions. These recommendations can be developed by examining historical data to determine which previous reroute options were used in similar weather and traffic conditions. Essentially, using previous information to inform future decisions. This paper describes the initial steps and methodology used towards this goal. A method to extract relevant features from the large volume of weather data to quantify the convective weather scenario during a particular time range is presented. Similar routes are clustered. A description of the algorithm to identify which cluster of reroute advisories were actually followed by pilots is described. Models built for fifteen of the top twenty most frequently used reroute clusters correctly predict the use of the cluster for over 60 of the test examples. Results are preliminary but indicate that the methodology is worth pursuing with modifications based on insight gained from this analysis

Sherlock Data Warehouse

Overview of NASA Ames Aviation Systems Division's Sherlock data warehouse

System-of-Systems Considerations in the Notional Development of a Metropolitan Aerial Transportation System

There are substantial future challenges related to sustaining and improving efficient, cost-effective, and environmentally friendly transportation options for urban regions. Over the past several decades there has been a worldwide trend towards increasing urbanization of society. Accompanying this urbanization are increasing surface transportation infrastructure costs and, despite public infrastructure investments, increasing surface transportation "gridlock." In addition to this global urbanization trend, there has been a substantial increase in concern regarding energy sustainability, fossil fuel emissions, and the potential implications of global climate change. A recently completed study investigated the feasibility of an aviation solution for future urban transportation (refs. 1, 2). Such an aerial transportation system could ideally address some of the above noted concerns related to urbanization, transportation gridlock, and fossil fuel emissions (ref. 3). A metro/regional aerial transportation system could also provide enhanced transportation flexibility to accommodate extraordinary events such as surface (rail/road) transportation network disruptions and emergency/disaster relief responses

Sherlock Data Warehouse

This slide deck provides an overview of the data and resources available in the Sherlock Data Warehouse. Sherlock was developed and is currently maintained by the Aviation Systems Division at NASA Ames Research Center. Sherlock contains a valuable collection of flight, air traffic management, and weather data. But Sherlock is not just a data archive. Sherlock also includes tools and resources to access, download, and visualize data, as well as resources to process the data. This overview summarizes Sherlock data sources, demonstrates data analytics and visualization with MicroStrategy, illustrates disparate data integration using the ATM Knowledge graph, and presents a machine learning use case using the Big Data system